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Probability in tennis

I am looking for an expert in probability.

I am interested in tennis. In a 3set match, there are 4 possible outcomes.

a. player 1 wins (2:0) on sets

b. player 1 wins (2:1) on sets

c. player 2 wins (1:2) on sets

d. player 2 wins (0:2) on sets

What I need:

1. How the probability win of a match in-play (in-running) will affect these markets.

Example: Let's say before the match has started, there is 50% that player1 will win the match and 50% that player 2 will win the game. The probabilities that the match will end (2:0), (2:1), (1:2), (0:2) are 25% each. I need to know how the change in the probabiliy of match winner will affect these 4 markets. If at some point during the tennis game player 1 has 75% of winning the match, what should be respective probabilities of match ending a.b.c.d.

2. I need an algorithm (that can be used in excel or math solvers), where I input the probabilites (odds) of players to win a match and I get respective a.b.c.d. probabilities.

Skills: Algorithm, Education & Tutoring, Mathematics, Matlab and Mathematica, Statistics

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About the Employer:
( 0 reviews ) Chisinau, Moldova, Republic of

Project ID: #4030959

Awarded to:

veraanadi

I have a PhD with specialisation in statistics and probability theory.

$50 USD in 1 day
(1 Review)
2.9

17 freelancers are bidding on average $83 for this job

WebDesignall

Hi We can help you, we are a very serious team and have the expertise in probability, please check our profile and reviews Best regards

$100 USD in 1 day
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6.5
MikroStar

hi, i can help.

$100 USD in 1 day
(33 Reviews)
6.1
RotorProgrammer

Hello. I'll make Excel table for calculating the probabilities.

$40 USD in 1 day
(29 Reviews)
5.3
VolKa

Hi Sure can do this for EXCEL. Examples of my work in my portfolio. Regards

$35 USD in 1 day
(36 Reviews)
5.1
bchandra1955

Sure, I will give you four probability equations along with a excel sheet or a MATLAB code for computations.

$55 USD in 1 day
(25 Reviews)
4.8
jjauhien

Hi, I see no difficulties with the task. Would be happy to co-operate.

$40 USD in 2 days
(9 Reviews)
2.8
cristis

Hi. I am a mathematician with experience.

$50 USD in 1 day
(2 Reviews)
2.6
talalkhaliq

I am ready to work for you. I am good with mathematics and will give you correct results as soon as possible.

$35 USD in 1 day
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0.0
CH6r3DG1m

We are freelance software developers. If you contact me I can give a quote for your project and we can discuss the details. www.<b><i>Removed by Admin</i></b>

$140 USD in 1 day
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pierreho

Hi Pozdirca, I have it done.

$40 USD in 1 day
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neel1319

we are a team of 4 Probability expert here, will deliver best quality for a reasonable cost...

$60 USD in 2 days
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0.0
artisticoder

Hi, I can help for sure.

$450 USD in 10 days
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0.0
LeartS

Hi. I can deliver what you ask for almost immediately (it's quite easy). I can give you mathematical formulas for point 1) and their implementations in excel for point 2).

$30 USD in 1 day
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0.0
washingtonzju

I could write a supervised ML solution based on bayes. with matlab, mail me if any interested.

$150 USD in 4 days
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0.0
malter61

I have taught probability theory for years, particularly binomial distribution problems. I can create a spreadsheet for you whereby you can enter the probability of player 1 winning any game, and the sheet will give y More

$30 USD in 1 day
(0 Reviews)
0.0
NicholasLM

Hello, simple binomial distributions. Main concern will be the interface. I can modify it to your liking on a multitude of platforms, matlab, excel, standalone C app. We can also consider adding other attributes if nee More

$30 USD in 1 day
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tim163

This is an easy one, I can do it.

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