In Progress

Analyze data set to find top factors that drive outcomes

Please read fully before bidding

The attached spreadsheet contains a series of "real world" results for 4 sets of currency pairs based on formulae designed to predict the results or "expirys". Green indicates an accurate prediction and red indicates an inaccurate prediction. The summary tab contains the overall summary of results for each pair by prediction type.

Key terms and definitions (use the following chart to calculate accuracy trends)

E = expiry (these occur at quarter-hour intervals after the Alert Price/Time)

Cluster 1 = E 1-4

Cluster 2 = E 4-6

Cluster 3 = E 6-8

Cluster 2,3 = E 4-8

Cluster 4 = E 1-8 (all 8 expirys)

Note: note expirys within clusters need to be analyzed separately. For example, do not group results for Cluster 1 with the results Clusters 2,3. These are separated in the spreadsheet.

1) analyze the results and for each currency pair, let me know the best time of day, day of the week, or price leads to the best results. The goal is to provide a set of rules that result in >95% accuracy on the expirys in the cluster. Please note, I am only interested in the rules for clusters where all of the expirys in the cluster were green.

2) Overall, for each pair, I would like you to analyze and send me 2-3 simple rules that says, for example, if you place a bet between 2-4GMT on Tuesdays the results for USDJPY will almost always move as predicted (e.g., the full cluster or most of the expirys in the predicted cluster are green) or Sundays between 15-23GMT the EURUSD predictions are almost always accurate.

Overall, the goal is to find the rules that result in >95% accuracy on the expires (all expirys in the cluster are green). Note, the current accuracies range between 46-84%.

Feel free to send me questions.

Skills: Binary Analysis, Financial Analysis, Statistical Analysis

See more: set data entry center, responsible creating set data fully test program submit assignmenttest data include test data years payment , php set data structure, set data meta analysis spss, set data google map sql database, clementine data analyze, set data sql 2005 user primavera, perl xls maker set data type, data entry part time job muar, plot set data excel graph, data entry part time dhaka, data encoder part time cebu, skill set data cleansing, excel data entry part time requirement pune, captcha data entry part time individual, set data feed website, set data feed, set data feeds, javascript extract data website load time, identify possibilities given set data excel lotto

About the Employer:
( 7 reviews ) Silver Spring, United States

Project ID: #12237720

2 freelancers are bidding on average $200 for this job

suyashdhoot

Hi I am a very experienced statistician and academic writer. I have completed several PhD level thesis projects involving advanced statistical analysis of data. I have worked with data from several companies and have d More

$250 USD in 7 days
(46 Reviews)
5.9
JonnaNueros121

I'm a PhD student in Engineering with a Master's in Statistics. Expert in Matlab, Minitab Econometric and statistical modeling of pretty much everything you can think of. These include expertise on protocol development More

$150 USD in 3 days
(8 Reviews)
5.2