# Statistics/Applied math-2 fairly involved questions, need equations to solve

I'm a poker player and I have 2 questions I need help with. It will take 1.5-2 hours. This is for my personal calculations so the budget's not too high but I figured I'd need a couple of hours from a professional statistician to put these equations together and provide an explanation, so I'm setting the budget at \$10-30, but if you're exceptionally well-suited for this kind of work I'd be willing to pay more. I am summarizing the questions below to give a general sense of what is required, but I am including links to videos which detail the task and need to be watched in order to understand the scope of what is needed.

[url removed, login to view]!AkRxtEkrBxzQoZYHr3NLY7ITGSCF8Q

1. I have poker statistics on the population by two-card hand (AA, KK, QQ...etc)-this is data on the player pool at the level I play. The data I have is for only the portion of hands that didn't result in a fold, and I need to put together formulas in excel to make inferences about the way these unseen hands were distributed across his range of possible two-card hands.

2. When playing against a single opponent, I have to use Bayesian inference to determine the frequencies with which he plays hands as a function of the population. This is fairly straightforward for aggregate statistics (e.g. the frequency with which he opens with a raise) but I'm not sure how to make inferences about the way it affects the distribution of his range. Using the population's distribution of hands as a basis, I want to know A) how to adjust this distribution for unseen hands (those resulting in a fold) and B) how to adjust this distribution for known hands (those resulting in showdown on the final round of betting).

Thanks!

Skills: Statistical Analysis, Statistics

( 2 reviews ) DEFIANCE, United States

Project ID: #12239224

## 3 freelancers are bidding on average \$53 for this job

emokaya32

I am a PhD student pursuing doctoral studies in statistics. Previously, I graduated with a M.Sc. (Statistics) and earlier on I had finished my B.Ed. (Sciences) majoring in Double Mathematics from university. Among the More

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jcereceda

Hi Im ingeneer in maths with knowledge in statistics and probability I can help you with your questions Regards

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Ayo25

I am a statistician with advanced knowledge of microsoft excel. I have experience with data entry and statistical calculations.I work fast and deliver my projects on time. Looking forward to working with you. Thank yo More

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