Probability Application

An application is needed to compute subjective probability for a sequence of events, or catalysts. These events are organized under 3 factors, Regime Instability, Economic Hardship, and Personal Leadership. The user can select one of these factors, two of them, or all three and enter statement and the probability of this event occurring. After the user completes the survey, the application then computes an aggregate probability for all the events to occur using subjective probability equations. Feel free to contact for clarification.

Here is an example:

The user enters a catalyst for any factor:

ex. The country is threatened by famine.

The user is then prompted for a probability of this event occuring.

ex. 35%

The user can the choose to list additional catalysts dependent upon the former, enter an independent catalyst, or proceed to the next factor (if necessary)

After the user completes the survey, the application then computes an aggregate probability for all the events to occur using subjective probability equations.

There will also be an admin/login section where a user can login and view their surveys and edit them.

I am enclosing the schematics for the application - binder.pdf. The 2nd pdf is a clarification on the interface.


As the person is completing the survey, thei will encounter a series of questions, regarding the related events as you see in the previously posted documents. As the question occur, I would like them to appear in lightbox where the background is dimmed. I believe this will relieve some of the confusion that the user may occur.

I found this website that gives examples and coding for the lightbox:

On this page, underneath the heading "Other Content Types" and clicking on the Inline HTML link might give the best example of what I would like to have.

So the survey will involve a sequence of these windows until it is completed and then the calculations are processed, stored, and presented to the user.

Thank you for your attention.

Skills: Javascript, Matlab and Mathematica, PHP, SQL

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( 54 reviews ) Rio Rancho, United States

Project ID: #598096

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I am a Student of Computer Science in the Top Engineering College of India which makes me the cream of intelligence in India. I know my math and also have expert PHP knowledge. Project Bid will be reduced it proved to More

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I am an Expert in Complex Web Application and your project seems very nice one, so I can start ASAP after a short discussion with you. I have completed 93 projects world-wide and got excellent reviews in each of the More

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Good evening! I can deliver the PHP-based application you've described. I've coded plenty of PHP/MySQL applications and have significant experience with probability concepts (including successful completion of Actuaria More

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Hi. I know how to build your probability catalyst analyzer web application and store the information for new and existing users. I have carefully reviewed your project description and attachments. Please check your PM More

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Dear Sir, please see my PM, thanks. Best regards

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I have been many years in soft. development and analysis. I can complete your work if i get chance, have gone through the pdf files you share. Looking Forward.

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I am interested in your job for the following reasons: (1) Master Degree in Computer Science / Machine Learning (2) TA in Systems and Computer Engineering (3) Senior Developer and Architect in a CMMI certified level More

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i have studied economic and statistic subject in my academic level.. i can provide better solution for this project .

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I love statistics,and i am a graduate in statistical sciences.I am well versed with probability theory, and have done similar work involving surveys before. I will be honored to do work for you.

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I can complete it for u... I am expert in AJAX, WSDL, Web Services & Clients, JSF, J2ME, J2SE, J2EE/EJB3, JavaScript, NetBeans IDE v6.0, JBOSS, TOMCAT, HTML, XSLT, XML, ORACLE, MS-ACCESS, MySQL, SQL Server, etc... I am More

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