An application is needed to compute subjective probability for a sequence of events, or catalysts. These events are organized under 3 factors, Regime Instability, Economic Hardship, and Personal Leadership. The user can select one of these factors, two of them, or all three and enter statement and the probability of this event occurring. After the user completes the survey, the application then computes an aggregate probability for all the events to occur using subjective probability equations. Feel free to contact for clarification.
Here is an example:
The user enters a catalyst for any factor:
ex. The country is threatened by famine.
The user is then prompted for a probability of this event occuring.
The user can the choose to list additional catalysts dependent upon the former, enter an independent catalyst, or proceed to the next factor (if necessary)
After the user completes the survey, the application then computes an aggregate probability for all the events to occur using subjective probability equations.
There will also be an admin/login section where a user can login and view their surveys and edit them.
I am enclosing the schematics for the application - binder.pdf. The 2nd pdf is a clarification on the interface.
As the person is completing the survey, thei will encounter a series of questions, regarding the related events as you see in the previously posted documents. As the question occur, I would like them to appear in lightbox where the background is dimmed. I believe this will relieve some of the confusion that the user may occur.
I found this website that gives examples and coding for the lightbox: http://colorpowered.com/colorbox/
On this page, underneath the heading "Other Content Types" and clicking on the Inline HTML link might give the best example of what I would like to have.
So the survey will involve a sequence of these windows until it is completed and then the calculations are processed, stored, and presented to the user.
Thank you for your attention.
19 freelancers are bidding on average $512 for this job
I have been many years in soft. development and analysis. I can complete your work if i get chance, have gone through the pdf files you share. Looking Forward.
I love statistics,and i am a graduate in statistical sciences.I am well versed with probability theory, and have done similar work involving surveys before. I will be honored to do work for you.